Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 7.422751 8.557730 9.766033 11.143641 12.666139 14.292741 16.157293
2025-06-29 5.364609 6.827060 8.498848 10.533263 12.923252 15.623078 18.883834
2025-07-06 3.936113 5.520641 7.460302 9.967367 13.077520 16.764067 21.415813
2025-07-13 3.301248 5.045072 7.309685 10.387647 14.377865 19.289894 25.699728
2025-07-20 2.923268 4.825604 7.428128 11.120735 16.086614 22.391037 30.841811
2025-07-27 2.586336 4.596390 7.484144 11.745760 17.667921 25.392453 35.989784
2025-08-03 2.173838 4.178497 7.209268 11.864278 18.547607 27.498353 40.055330
2025-08-10 1.747188 3.656719 6.704623 11.583614 18.823764 28.778530 43.053461
2025-08-17 1.418317 3.231780 6.284055 11.366203 19.143504 30.097437 46.119339
2025-08-24 1.173641 2.905680 5.972565 11.269786 19.607267 31.607244 49.470714
2025-08-31 0.972811 2.619715 5.686279 11.174282 20.045696 33.075669 52.791045
2025-09-07 0.883655 2.541364 5.749507 11.645983 21.367642 35.859453 58.046818
2025-09-14 0.742255 2.325870 5.545722 11.664690 22.001809 37.692015 62.059281
2025-09-21 0.576158 2.010352 5.107856 11.233369 21.880631 38.382282 64.431052
2025-09-28 0.437883 1.719177 4.670294 10.751919 21.633047 38.852795 66.477331
2025-10-05 0.401246 1.689527 4.769279 11.265755 23.077814 41.986831 72.589850
2025-10-12 0.389764 1.729791 5.022652 12.087760 25.083909 46.060527 80.223886
2025-10-19 0.369239 1.737741 5.203925 12.779477 26.890059 49.867109 87.539926
2025-10-26 0.317272 1.630953 5.110231 12.920919 27.733249 52.157919 92.586213
2025-11-02 0.250953 1.450320 4.815360 12.629721 27.784345 53.163548 95.662917
2025-11-09 0.199389 1.298891 4.565045 12.402231 27.928387 54.311988 98.976018
2025-11-16 0.161752 1.183308 4.385030 12.301951 28.291155 55.818976 102.872552
2025-11-23 0.130469 1.077891 4.213356 12.201418 28.641784 57.307791 106.765896